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2024-12-14 00:03:24 <var draggable="BWKvp"></var>

Coffee C dropped by over 4.3%, while new york Cocoa dropped by about 0.5%, leaving the highest level in history. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), ICE raw sugar futures rose by 1.33% and ICE white sugar futures rose by 0.50%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell 4.35% to 319.60 cents/pound, after reaching 348.35 cents at 19:51 on December 10th. Robusta coffee futures fell 2.50% to 5101 per ton, and reached 5694 on November 29th. New york cocoa futures fell 0.47% to US$ 10,507/ton; According to Bloomberg data, it has hit a record high for several days since it broke through the top of $8,984 on April 24 on November 22, and it reached 10,690 on December 10. London cocoa futures rose 0.30% to 8429, reaching 8500 at 17:30 Beijing time-also hitting a record high for several days in a row. ICE cotton futures rose 1.02%.Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Consultant: Geopolitical concerns are bringing more downside risks.Russian Presidential Press Secretary: Russia supports the exchange of prisoners of war between Russia and Ukraine proposed by Hungarian Prime Minister. On December 12, local time, Russian Presidential Press Secretary peskov said that Hungarian Prime Minister Orban proposed the exchange of prisoners of war between the two sides and a ceasefire during the New Year holiday on the 11th. The Russian side has submitted the Russian proposal for prisoner exchange to the Hungarian Embassy in Russia. Judging from Zelensky's reaction, the Ukrainian side rejected all Orban's proposals. Peskov emphasized that Russia supports Orban's proposal and the settlement of humanitarian issues related to the exchange of prisoners of war. (CCTV News)


Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Consultant: We will turn to an environment where antitrust agencies will not have instinctive aversion to large technology companies. We see that many private equity activities are increasing.Aiming at the low-interest inclusive credit intermediary packaging, I recently visited a number of loan intermediaries and found that these companies are very similar in business layout and office space. The bank logo on the wall is standard, and the daily performance information of loan managers is scrolled on the electronic screen hanging at the entrance. Observing the screen, it is not difficult to find that the Pratt & Whitney mortgage loan for small and micro enterprises is the main product of loan managers in the near future. Customizing shell companies for borrowers according to bank audit requirements to apply for mortgage loans has become a routine means for loan intermediaries to attract customers. Although many banks explicitly require that cooperation with loan intermediaries is not allowed, the attitude of bank branches and grassroots employees towards loan intermediaries is ambiguous. According to industry insiders, inclusive loans are special loans that benefit small and micro enterprises, farmers and other special groups and must be implemented. With the implementation of the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises, banks and enterprises are expected to achieve accurate docking, so that credit resources can flow to small and micro enterprises with real financing needs. (CSI)Ahmed khalil, the doctor of Brazilian President Lula, said that Lula's operation was to minimize the risk of future bleeding.


The US dollar index rose on the 11th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.29% that day and closed at 106.710 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0492 US dollars, lower than 1.0527 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2745, down from $1.2774 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.65 yen, higher than 151.93 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8848 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8829 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4162 Canadian dollars, down from 1.4165 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 10.9791, higher than SEK 10.9750 in the previous trading day.Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)

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